Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b36…0d4b
crypto · 924 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,153 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,896 · open −$321
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,199
Realized−$2,896
Unrealized−$321
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses206 / 903
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$63
Open positions132
Markets (closed)1109 / 924
History coverage3d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day915.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 132 History 1109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,916
7 days−$2,896
14 days−$2,896
30 days−$2,896
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $642 $598 −$44 (-7%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $521 $515 −$7 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $296 $296 −$1 (-0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $157 $156 −$1 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $142 $126 −$17 (-12%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $123 $119 −$4 (-3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 64¢ 19¢ $297 $86 −$211 (-71%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $76 $75 −$1 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $68 $67 −$1 (-2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $68 $66 −$2 (-4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $55 $54 −$1 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $45 $45 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 26¢ 23¢ $49 $43 −$6 (-12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 38¢ $49 $42 −$7 (-14%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $43 $42 −$1 (-3%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 89¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 84¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 56¢ 45¢ $26 $21 −$5 (-20%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $19 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+0%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$22 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$20 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $10 −$20 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 2AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $245 −$245 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$30 -200%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -205%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$36 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$9 -3054%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$18 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% −$188
crypto 21% −$321
sports 10% +$3,787
weather 0% −$10
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 5m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 15m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $12 16m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $50 16m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $100 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 20m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 20m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 21m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $50 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 25m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 30m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $50 31m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 32m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $50 33m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $200 33m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 33m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $12 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-54.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1109 -49.5% -54.3% 19% 17% -13.7%
≤30d 1109 -49.5% -54.3% 19% 17% -13.7%
≤90d 1109 -49.5% -54.3% 19% 17% -13.7%
all 1109 -49.5% -54.3% 19% 17% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover915.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.3% 17% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -58.7% 16% -22.0%
15% -62.6% 15% -29.5%
20% -66.3% 13% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,199.30 · official $3,199.38 (match) · 3500 history records