Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b2a…0366
weather · 73 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses71 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage11d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$1
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? No 89¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor prima Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +4%
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May? Jun 10 $7 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% −$6
other 4% +$1
world 3% +$1
politics 2% $0
sports 1% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $7 14h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 14h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 95¢ $7 19h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 19h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $5 20h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $6 20h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $11 20h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $8 20h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 20h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $4 22h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju BUY No 98¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun BUY No 97¢ $7 22h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $7 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +1.3% -8.3% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 73 +1.2% -8.5% 97% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 73 +1.2% -8.5% 97% 1% -10.0%
all 73 +1.2% -8.5% 97% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 1% -10.0%
10% -17.2% 0% -18.6%
15% -25.2% 0% -26.5%
20% -32.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 152 history records