Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:13:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b23…04a3
sports · 572 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,568 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,150 · open −$582
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,810
Realized+$7,150
Unrealized−$582
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses311 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$535
Open positions41
Markets (closed)533 / 572
History coverage2d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day1428.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 41 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$7,150
14 days+$7,150
30 days+$7,150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5,455 $5,281 −$174 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 73¢ 92¢ $478 $608 +$130 (+27%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $379 $431 +$52 (+14%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 54¢ 42¢ $458 $359 −$99 (-22%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 53¢ 96¢ $189 $343 +$154 (+81%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 57¢ $180 $303 +$124 (+69%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Under 44¢ 74¢ $105 $180 +$75 (+71%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Under 37¢ 76¢ $81 $166 +$85 (+104%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Under 65¢ 97¢ $89 $133 +$44 (+50%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 71¢ 95¢ $61 $81 +$20 (+33%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 96¢ 100¢ $70 $73 +$3 (+5%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Athletics 89¢ 72¢ $87 $70 −$17 (-20%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 44¢ 34¢ $90 $69 −$20 (-23%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Chicago Cubs 52¢ 86¢ $40 $67 +$27 (+66%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Over 67¢ 81¢ $49 $59 +$10 (+22%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Under 56¢ 61¢ $41 $45 +$4 (+9%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 54¢ 66¢ $37 $45 +$8 (+21%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Over 48¢ 68¢ $29 $41 +$12 (+42%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Under 50¢ 96¢ $20 $38 +$18 (+92%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Athletics 90¢ 92¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 82¢ 96¢ $24 $28 +$4 (+17%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 25¢ 5¢ $127 $25 −$102 (-80%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Under 40¢ 94¢ $10 $24 +$14 (+135%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 34¢ 8¢ $104 $23 −$81 (-78%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Over 54¢ 62¢ $18 $20 +$3 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $10 +$15 +147%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $264 +$23 +9%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $62 +$16 +27%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $315 +$287 +91%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $103 −$8 -7%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 13 $65 +$13 +20%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $287 +$22 +8%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $135 −$2 -1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $113 +$13 +11%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $200 +$9 +5%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $197 +$15 +8%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $661 +$41 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $70 +$37 +54%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $120 +$10 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $348 +$239 +69%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $120 +$9 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $482 +$103 +22%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 +$5 +17%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $52 +$26 +50%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $127 −$89 -70%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 −$5 -30%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $47 +$117 +250%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $568 +$53 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $37 −$9 -23%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $189 +$29 +15%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $94 +$50 +54%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $90 +$104 +116%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $134 +$21 +16%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $212 +$176 +83%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $85 +$69 +82%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$6,595
other 13% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 36¢ $37 3m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 27¢ $12 3m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 16¢ $6 3m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 35¢ $102 5m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 63¢ $5 8m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $10 8m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 31¢ $13 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 17¢ $2 12m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 39¢ $23 14m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 60¢ $12 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 60¢ $3 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 58¢ $28 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 53¢ $45 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 70¢ $7 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 61¢ $22 17m
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 46¢ $27 17m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 21¢ $4 20m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 93¢ $100 21m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 34¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 34¢ $10 24m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 90¢ $100 24m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 23¢ $1 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 25m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 31¢ $10 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 41% +3.4%
≤30d 533 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 41% +3.4%
≤90d 533 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 41% +3.4%
all 533 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 41% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1428.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.9% 41% +3.4%
10% ← realistic here -6.1% 32% -6.5%
15% -15.1% 25% -15.5%
20% -23.5% 20% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,810.17 · official $8,765.39 (match) · 3500 history records