Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b20…0e8b
crypto · 1155 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$306 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,931 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,931
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses498 / 657
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1155 / 1155
History coverage57d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day45.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$549
7 days−$800
14 days+$7
30 days−$1,044
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$57 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$38 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$20 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$44 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$29 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$28 +265%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$59 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$8 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$72 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$58 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$14 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $109 +$91 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$54 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$25 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$66 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$34 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,931
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $18 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $42 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $16 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $24 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $75 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 -24.3% -31.5% 38% 35% -19.3%
≤30d 475 -15.3% -23.4% 43% 40% -16.2%
≤90d 1155 -13.2% -21.5% 43% 41% -17.5%
all 1155 -13.2% -21.5% 43% 41% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 41% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 39% -25.4%
15% -35.9% 35% -32.6%
20% -42.2% 32% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records