Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T22:20:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b1c…75ee crypto 1305 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (156 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,596 (-18%) realized −$1,596 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate69%900W / 405L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day155.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$139
14 days−$399
30 days−$558
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$558
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (156 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 566 -4.9% -13.9% 70% 40% -12.8%
≤30d 1305 -6.8% -15.6% 69% 37% -15.3%
≤90d 1305 -6.8% -15.6% 69% 37% -15.3%
all 1305 -6.8% -15.6% 69% 37% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover155.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 37% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 26% -23.4%
15% -31.1% 19% -30.8%
20% -37.8% 15% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,596
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses900 / 405
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1305 / 1305
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day155.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1305 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$10 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records