Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b15…7cac
sports · 34 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
−$288 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open −$162
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$207
Realized−$87
Unrealized−$162
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses13 / 18
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions3
Markets (closed)31 / 34
History coverage189d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$91
7 days+$117
14 days+$117
30 days+$117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 16¢ 10¢ $320 $190 −$130 (-41%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 19¢ 10¢ $30 $17 −$13 (-45%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) 3DMAX 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 20¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 9¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs FURIA 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 12¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 52¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 20¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? No 2¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 3¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 16¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $204 +$86 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$76 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $41 −$9 -21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 +$100 +487%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $68 −$67 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $70 −$68 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$17 +163%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $64 +$26 +41%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$66 +324%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $81 +$41 +51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $52 +$78 +149%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 −$55 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $46 +$32 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $120 +$28 +24%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? Mar 15 $173 −$94 -54%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? Mar 10 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playof Jan 25 $153 −$103 -67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Jan 25 $39 −$24 -62%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Jan 24 $68 −$15 -22%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jan 24 $106 +$49 +46%
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor Dec 21 $44 +$198 +450%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Dec 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) Dec 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Dec 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) Dec 06 $67 +$12 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$174
politics 40% −$130
finance 11% −$294
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 6¢ $20 44m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 19¢ $31 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Monte 99¢ $190 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 51¢ $99 3h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Monte 50¢ $99 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 51¢ $104 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 12¢ $15 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 12¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 9¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 21¢ $27 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL B8 100¢ $176 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 56¢ $100 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $21 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 55¢ $121 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 52¢ $91 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 25¢ $31 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 23¢ $17 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 16¢ $21 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 9¢ $21 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $51 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 12¢ $18 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 81¢ $27 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $10 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 26¢ $51 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 54¢ $53 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $24 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $87 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 44¢ $38 27h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $41 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 23¢ $20 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +46.8% +32.8% 50% 50% +0.8%
≤30d 20 +46.8% +32.8% 50% 50% +0.8%
≤90d 20 +46.8% +32.8% 50% 50% +0.8%
all 31 +29.8% +17.4% 42% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +17.4% 42% -14.1%
10% +6.2% 42% -22.3%
15% -4.1% 42% -29.8%
20% -13.5% 32% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $206.84 · official $206.84 (match) · 107 history records