Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b0e…44f6
crypto · 1770 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$32
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses967 / 671
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1638 / 1770
History coverage59d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1638 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$297
14 days+$384
30 days+$626
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$15 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$10 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
other 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $23 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $23 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $23 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 +5.8% -4.3% 74% 74% -4.1%
≤30d 1394 +4.3% -5.6% 68% 67% -4.7%
≤90d 1638 -5.8% -14.8% 59% 58% -10.8%
all 1638 -5.8% -14.8% 59% 58% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 58% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 48% -19.3%
15% -30.4% 32% -27.1%
20% -37.2% 20% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.17 · official $8.25 (match) · 3500 history records