Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b01…0e35 crypto 553 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$533 (-5%) realized −$533 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate55%303W / 250L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day53.9pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$159
14 days−$1,160
30 days−$1,360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$1,516
sports 2% +$26
other 1% +$20
politics 1% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -32.8% -39.2% 35% 26% -30.8%
≤30d 267 -25.4% -32.5% 35% 29% -25.3%
≤90d 553 -14.3% -22.4% 55% 30% -23.8%
all 553 -14.3% -22.4% 55% 30% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 30% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 24% -31.1%
15% -36.6% 16% -37.8%
20% -42.8% 10% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$12 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$533
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses303 / 250
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)553 / 553
History coverage42d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day53.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 553 Trades
no open positions (173 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$6 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $40 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $28 −$15 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $54 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $42 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$20 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $45 −$13 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $46 −$29 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $121 −$106 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $84 +$46 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $39 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $59 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $130 −$110 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 09 $88 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $172 −$165 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $119 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 09 $65 −$61 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 09 $101 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 09 $99 −$70 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $98 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $45 +$11 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $182 −$21 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $73 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $42 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $78 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $56 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $77 +$27 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $47 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $62 −$14 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $63 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.72 · official $0.00 (match) · 2500 history records