Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6afb…bc4c
crypto · 1449 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1006 / 443
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1449 / 1449
History coverage93d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$20
14 days−$30
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+85%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+64%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -31.5% -38.0% 45% 44% -37.2%
≤30d 301 -4.8% -13.8% 61% 58% -16.0%
≤90d 1359 +3.2% -6.7% 69% 62% -13.0%
all 1449 +3.1% -6.8% 69% 62% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 62% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 53% -21.3%
15% -23.8% 36% -28.9%
20% -31.3% 21% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.71 · official $13.71 (match) · 3500 history records