Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6aec…56d7
crypto · 1462 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$281 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$281 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$281
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses944 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1462 / 1462
History coverage24d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day81.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$24
14 days−$109
30 days−$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$281
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 386 -3.2% -12.4% 62% 62% -13.8%
≤30d 1462 -3.0% -12.2% 65% 62% -13.6%
≤90d 1462 -3.0% -12.2% 65% 62% -13.6%
all 1462 -3.0% -12.2% 65% 62% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 62% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 49% -21.9%
15% -28.3% 26% -29.4%
20% -35.3% 16% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.04 · official $2.04 (match) · 3500 history records