Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ae8…5746
crypto · 726 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$351 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$355 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized−$355
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses253 / 470
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)723 / 726
Avg bet$11
Trades / day149.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 723 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$147
14 days−$339
30 days−$355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 13¢ 62¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+373%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$10 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$347
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 488 -1.3% -10.7% 34% 26% -12.9%
≤30d 723 -2.2% -11.5% 35% 22% -13.4%
≤90d 723 -2.2% -11.5% 35% 22% -13.4%
all 723 -2.2% -11.5% 35% 22% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover149.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 22% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 11% -21.7%
15% -27.7% 10% -29.3%
20% -34.8% 10% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.51 · official $7.65 · 3500 history records