Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:31:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ae1…1e7e
sports · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$114,493 +56%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17,312 · open +$61,056
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$284,211
Realized+$17,312
Unrealized+$61,056
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses8 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$3,702
Open positions26
Markets (closed)17 / 23
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8,923
Trades / day675.3
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 26 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,312
7 days+$17,312
14 days+$17,312
30 days+$17,312
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 59¢ 94¢ $87,943 $139,058 +$51,115 (+58%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 85¢ 90¢ $36,031 $38,421 +$2,390 (+7%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $37,777 $37,759 −$18 (-0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 97¢ $25,167 $25,154 −$13 (-0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 50¢ 99¢ $7,285 $14,396 +$7,110 (+98%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $9,730 $9,819 +$89 (+1%)
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No 97¢ 97¢ $9,355 $9,369 +$14 (+0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $6,187 $6,173 −$14 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1,477 $1,930 +$453 (+31%)
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 95¢ 97¢ $1,033 $1,055 +$22 (+2%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 96¢ 96¢ $478 $482 +$4 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $208 $207 −$0 (-0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $181 $183 +$2 (+1%)
China coup attempt before 2027? No 94¢ 97¢ $68 $70 +$2 (+3%)
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 50¢ 28¢ $68 $37 −$31 (-45%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $98 $33 −$65 (-66%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 40¢ $37 $32 −$5 (-14%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 81¢ 84¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? No 36¢ 36¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 Under 14¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes 82¢ 66¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-19%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 52¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $446 −$446 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $449 +$10 +2%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $11,600 +$1 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $7,548 $0 -0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $17,000 −$1,400 -8%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $16,400 +$200 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $13,362 −$814 -6%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,170 $0 -0%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $6,204 +$200 +3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $12,913 +$4,071 +32%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5,336 −$75 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2,070 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2,100 $0 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27,156 +$12,345 +46%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11,689 +$3,398 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$80,985
sports 29% −$2,083
world 1% +$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $4 7m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $7 27m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $28 29m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $4 47m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $11 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $26 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $96 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $3 2h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY No 36¢ $11 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Under 44¢ $0 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Under 44¢ $140 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Under 44¢ $244 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Under 44¢ $76 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $4 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $117 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $3 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $7 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 59¢ $50 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 43¢ $317 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $440 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $19 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $50 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $10 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $200 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $50 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $10 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Under 58¢ $29 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+80.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +99.6% +80.6% 47% 24% +3.2%
≤30d 17 +99.6% +80.6% 47% 24% +3.2%
≤90d 17 +99.6% +80.6% 47% 24% +3.2%
all 17 +99.6% +80.6% 47% 24% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover675.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +80.6% 24% +3.2%
10% +63.3% 24% -6.7%
15% ← realistic here +47.6% 12% -15.7%
20% +33.1% 6% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $284,210.58 · official $284,209.52 (match) · 3500 history records