Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:28:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ac1…324f
other · 234 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses11 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
History coverage124d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$16
14 days−$28
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $118 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $390 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $663 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $160 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $505 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $367 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $240 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 12 $315 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $491 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $335 −$1 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $81 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $167 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $518 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $573 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $201 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $234 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $186 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $182 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $201 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $444 −$2 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $120 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $135 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $302 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $55 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $273 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $312 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $172 −$1 -1%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $435 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $344 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $591 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $667 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $329 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $335 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $57 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $541 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $597 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $350 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $188 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $118 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $295 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $185 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $737 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $209 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $216 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $253 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $60 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $310 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$36
sports 22% −$18
politics 8% −$5
crypto 7% −$5
culture 7% −$5
economics 5% −$4
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 29m
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 3h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 4h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 6h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 7h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $53 12h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $53 14h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $53 15h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $53 17h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $53 18h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $53 20h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 27h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 29h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $53 37h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $53 38h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $53 39h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $53 40h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 43h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 44h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $53 2d
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $54 2d
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $54 2d
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $54 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 3d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 70 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 234 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1269 history records