Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6aba…c7da
other · 57 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$30 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses12 / 44
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage616d
Avg bet$331
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 13 $22 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $12 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 27 $18 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $13 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $13 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 21 $101 $0 -0%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 21 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 20 $12 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $17 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 19 $94 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $175 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $88 $0 -0%
Sabres vs. Canadiens May 11 $9 +$8 +83%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $88 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $87 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $172 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $168 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Apr 30 $85 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $85 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 24 $88 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 23 $90 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 23 $88 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 23 $86 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 22 $89 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 19 $83 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $84 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $82 $0 -0%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $7 +$6 +83%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $10 +$4 +46%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $6 +$10 +165%
Heat vs. Raptors Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bruins vs. Panthers Apr 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Jets vs. Blackhawks Apr 06 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $150 in March? Apr 02 $49 $0 +1%
Predators vs. Lightning Mar 31 $21 +$11 +52%
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flywei Mar 29 $21 +$20 +96%
Golden Knights vs. Jets Mar 27 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? Mar 24 $24 +$21 +89%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? Mar 05 $93 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $89 +$5 +5%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 07 $13,553 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 09 $1 $0 -2%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 19 $34 −$1 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 02 $42 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 74% −$14
politics 16% −$15
other 8% +$29
sports 1% −$35
crypto 1% +$1
tech 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $11 1h
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $11 5h
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 16d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 16d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $22 16d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $18 17d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 17d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $13 18d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 18d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 19d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 19d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $36 21d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $14 22d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 22d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $12 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche BUY Avalanche 64¢ $13 24d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 25d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 25d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $94 25d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $94 25d
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $89 31d
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $89 31d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $88 32d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $88 32d
Sabres vs. Canadiens BUY Canadiens 54¢ $9 34d
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $88 36d
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $88 36d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 12 -8.5% -17.2% 8% 0% -13.1%
≤90d 43 -2.1% -11.4% 23% 16% -9.7%
all 56 -1.8% -11.1% 21% 12% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 12% -9.7%
10% -19.6% 12% -18.3%
15% -27.4% 12% -26.2%
20% -34.5% 11% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.32 · official $36.32 (match) · 326 history records