trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 50% | 50% | -14.3% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 58% | 58% | +9.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 58% | 58% | +9.1% |
| all | 19 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 58% | 58% | +9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 58% | +9.1% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 58% | -1.4% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 47% | -10.9% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 42% | -19.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $67 | −$33 (-33%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 68¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $25 | −$5 (-15%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 38¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$20 | +97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $31 | +$38 | +124% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$49 | +97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |