Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:13:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ab5…7fde
crypto · 339 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses222 / 114
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)336 / 339
History coverage126d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$11
14 days+$13
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14? No 94¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Sri Lanka 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan Sri Lanka 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India India 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on February 8? Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Gujarat Titans 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $344 $0 −$344 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Chennai Super Kings 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +6%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 09 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 03 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 +2%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 31 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 31 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 31 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$190
sports 4% +$47
politics 1% +$110
other 0% −$2
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 96¢ $1 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $27 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 8h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 90¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $25 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 30h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +8.4% -1.9% 81% 48% -6.2%
≤30d 124 -4.7% -13.8% 64% 39% -20.6%
≤90d 283 -6.2% -15.1% 64% 34% -9.8%
all 336 -7.0% -15.9% 66% 31% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 31% -9.8%
10% -23.9% 21% -18.5%
15% -31.3% 16% -26.3%
20% -38.0% 12% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.19 · official $7.19 (match) · 748 history records