Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ab4…a81b
sports · 662 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$25,920 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$415 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$415
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses630 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 662
History coverage32d
Avg bet$641
Trades / day106.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,970
7 days−$2,409
14 days−$1,818
30 days−$795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 Over 98¢ 0¢ $943 $0 −$943 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 99¢ 0¢ $289 $0 −$289 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5 Under 87¢ 0¢ $1,201 $0 −$1,201 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 56¢ 0¢ $1,648 $0 −$1,648 (-100%)
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Draw at halftime? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 99¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $943 −$976 -104%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $289 −$300 -104%
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5 Jun 14 $1,201 −$1,520 -126%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4PM ET Jun 14 $292 −$292 -100%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $2 −$143 -5786%
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $266 +$2 +1%
CD Unión La Calera to score first vs. CF Universidad de Chile? Jun 14 $51 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $470 +$5 +1%
CF Universidad de Chile to score first vs. CD Unión La Calera? Jun 14 $76 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $2,733 +$3 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $3,251 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $3,222 +$29 +1%
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 14 $297 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 14 $2,552 +$23 +1%
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3,124 +$3 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $305 +$3 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $61 +$1 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $770 +$7 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $139 +$1 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $390 +$4 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $59 +$1 +2%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 14 $54 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $2,740 +$7 +0%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $3,338 +$30 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $495 +$4 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $169 +$2 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1,485 +$13 +1%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $729 +$6 +1%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $741 +$7 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $2,970 +$30 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $76 +$1 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $101 +$1 +1%
Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $3,228 +$29 +1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3,017 +$4 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $219 $0 +0%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2,744 +$40 +2%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3,168 +$27 +1%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $388 $0 +0%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $676 +$6 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$3,356
other 20% −$577
tech 1% +$82
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $268 37m
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $266 57m
CD Unión La Calera to score first vs. CF Universidad de Chile? SELL No 99¢ $52 1h
CF Universidad de Chile to score first vs. CD Unión La Calera? SELL Yes 99¢ $77 1h
CF Universidad de Chile to score first vs. CD Unión La Calera? BUY Yes 98¢ $76 1h
CD Unión La Calera to score first vs. CF Universidad de Chile? BUY No 98¢ $51 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 100¢ $2,733 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $40 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $19 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $404 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 99¢ $82 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 99¢ $3,169 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1,564 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1,687 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $3,251 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $575 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $495 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $41 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $30 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1,287 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $775 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? SELL No 100¢ $295 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $292 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -3.9% -13.1% 93% 2% -11.4%
≤30d 617 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 4% -9.6%
≤90d 669 +1.4% -8.3% 94% 5% -9.5%
all 669 +1.4% -8.3% 94% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 5% -9.5%
10% -17.0% 2% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -25.1% 1% -26.1%
20% -32.4% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records