Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:46:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6ab0…5ca4 other 28 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sampleP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,778 (-6%) realized −$1,778 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate43%12W / 16L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$997per market
Trades / day55.9pace
Fees−$263est.
Kalshi-fit46%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 69% −$3,782
other 31% −$758
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -22.0% -29.4% 43% 25% -25.6%
≤30d 28 -22.0% -29.4% 43% 25% -25.6%
≤90d 28 -22.0% -29.4% 43% 25% -25.6%
all 28 -22.0% -29.4% 43% 25% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 25% -25.6%
10% -36.2% 14% -32.7%
15% ← realistic here -42.4% 11% -39.2%
20% -48.0% 7% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$1,685) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -8% → late -36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$273 vs −$488 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.42 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,778
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses12 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$263
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage5d
Avg bet$997
Trades / day55.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 28 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $185 +$816 +442%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $193 −$189 -98%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $724 −$364 -50%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $3,597 −$2,866 -80%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $1,685 −$1,658 -98%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $923 −$753 -82%
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $2,379 +$81 +3%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $3,061 −$268 -9%
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $507 −$73 -14%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $602 +$49 +8%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $2,096 +$301 +14%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $242 +$52 +21%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $505 −$429 -85%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $846 +$35 +4%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $2,028 +$553 +27%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $305 −$181 -59%
Egypt leading at halftime? Jun 15 $1,808 +$194 +11%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $1,401 +$765 +55%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $2,422 −$1,020 -42%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,398 +$15 +1%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $994 +$413 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 46m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 46m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 46m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 95¢ $142 47m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 90¢ $57 48m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 90¢ $200 49m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 90¢ $2 49m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 84¢ $178 50m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 83¢ $229 51m
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 25¢ $53 1h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 39¢ $192 1h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 25¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $185 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? SELL Yes 9¢ $350 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $0 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $7 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $12 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 312 history records