Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:09:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6aa4…236c
sports · 225 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$3,782 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,074 · open −$134
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,368
Realized+$2,074
Unrealized−$134
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses107 / 111
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$896
Open positions7
Markets (closed)218 / 225
History coverage93d
Avg bet$259
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,368
7 days−$1,043
14 days−$1,045
30 days+$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 100¢ $235 $500 +$265 (+113%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 39¢ 60¢ $200 $313 +$113 (+57%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 60¢ $225 $302 +$78 (+34%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $250 $250 +$0 (+0%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $265 $2 −$262 (-99%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 48¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1 Team Envy 53¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 70¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Colossal Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega FURIA Esports 53¢ 0¢ $491 $0 −$491 (-100%)
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Dignitas 20¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs All Gamers 51¢ 0¢ $384 $0 −$384 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Aurora 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs FUT Esports 29¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs DRX 58¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 82¢ 0¢ $646 $0 −$646 (-100%)
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs T1 44¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 Fnatic 38¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 70¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season Bushido Wildcats 52¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,074 +$1,118 +54%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $406 −$396 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $988 −$988 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $133 −$130 -97%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $648 −$646 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $779 −$777 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$5 -4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 −$6 -6%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $514 +$486 +95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $53 −$24 -45%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $23 −$22 -98%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla Jun 11 $205 +$45 +22%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 11 $108 −$108 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $102 +$131 +128%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $403 −$200 -50%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $185 +$163 +88%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $958 +$509 +53%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $320 −$8 -3%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $103 −$3 -3%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 07 $90 −$90 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $1,257 +$202 +16%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $294 −$294 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 03 $233 −$43 -18%
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angele Jun 03 $309 −$5 -2%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 02 $323 −$14 -4%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 01 $210 +$63 +30%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $140 −$140 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $239 +$136 +57%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q May 31 $100 −$98 -98%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Pla May 30 $199 +$140 +70%
Valorant: QoR vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stag May 26 $154 +$146 +95%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $835 +$87 +10%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 May 25 $456 +$377 +83%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $30 +$26 +88%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualif May 24 $177 −$174 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cu May 24 $199 −$197 -99%
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: May 18 $47 −$47 -100%
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 18 $88 +$112 +127%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner May 18 $137 +$93 +67%
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qu May 17 $1 $0 +6%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs May 17 $992 +$598 +60%
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season May 17 $707 +$363 +51%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League May 17 $453 −$449 -99%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $140 −$140 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs May 17 $2,376 +$464 +20%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner May 17 $346 −$341 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $243 +$74 +30%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner May 17 $214 −$210 -98%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner May 17 $215 −$215 -100%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 17 $134 +$94 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$1,580
other 7% −$515
crypto 5% +$845
politics 1% −$19
finance 1% −$81
culture 1% +$139
economics 0% −$8
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $254 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 53¢ $269 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $70 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $3 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $9 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $14 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $17 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $89 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 48¢ $122 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 BUY Over 62¢ $209 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $229 13h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $239 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $673 13h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $406 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 77¢ $497 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2,074 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL 0¢ $0 18h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $123 18h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 18h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 40¢ $988 20h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $238 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $390 26h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $15 26h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $5 26h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 13¢ $33 26h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $5 27h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $32 27h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 44¢ $41 27h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 44¢ $39 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -31.8% -38.3% 32% 32% -19.4%
≤30d 63 -17.4% -25.2% 44% 40% -9.0%
≤90d 195 -11.5% -19.9% 46% 43% -5.8%
all 218 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 45% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 45% -5.4%
10% -23.5% 41% -14.5%
15% -30.9% 37% -22.7%
20% -37.7% 32% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,367.63 · official $1,615.13 · 1009 history records