Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6aa1…a420
sports · 858 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$719 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$695 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$344
Realized+$695
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses283 / 568
Est. fees paid−$852
Open positions7
Markets (closed)851 / 858
History coverage55d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 7 History 851 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$120
7 days−$140
14 days+$1,489
30 days+$2,975
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 68¢ $140 $208 +$68 (+49%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 45¢ 23¢ $100 $51 −$49 (-49%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 3¢ 5¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+76%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Draw at halftime? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Darderi Darderi 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 46¢ 0¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 31¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Osaka Vekic 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 15¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jodar 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 53¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs Samsonova Samsonova 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Ak Bars Kazan 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova Dalma Galfi 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Taylor Fritz 27¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $76 +$80 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $148 +$179 +121%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $112 −$110 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $143 +$113 +79%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $202 +$172 +85%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $72 −$70 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $61 +$2 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $50 +$45 +91%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 11 $106 −$59 -56%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $73 −$72 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $100 +$139 +139%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $22 −$22 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $40 +$63 +159%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $95 −$94 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $42 +$53 +126%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $51 −$9 -17%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $9 −$9 -97%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $53 −$52 -98%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $81 +$122 +149%
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Onclin (+1.5) Jun 10 $50 +$82 +165%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $72 −$70 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Halys vs Shimabukuro Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Giron Jun 09 $25 +$24 +95%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $101 −$100 -99%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $48 −$47 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $122 +$148 +121%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $51 −$50 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Ymer Jun 08 $27 −$26 -98%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $49 +$99 +203%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $101 +$78 +76%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $39 −$38 -98%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $71 +$118 +165%
Spread: Greece (-1.5) Jun 07 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $82 −$2 -3%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $141 −$138 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Jun 07 $39 −$38 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverev Jun 07 $82 −$80 -98%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $20 +$62 +303%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $70 −$68 -97%
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $51 +$30 +59%
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $150 −$10 -7%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev Jun 05 $101 −$100 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$1,128
other 9% −$405
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $142 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $102 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $156 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 30¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 48¢ $76 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $327 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 44¢ $148 5h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 39¢ $102 5h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 20¢ $51 5h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 33¢ $56 6h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $61 6h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 100¢ $117 6h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 53¢ $63 7h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 12¢ $10 7h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 100¢ $374 7h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 56¢ $101 8h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 51¢ $101 8h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 52¢ $101 9h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 22¢ $72 9h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 58¢ $61 16h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $95 16h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $61 16h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Czechia 13¢ $14 21h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? SELL Yes 42¢ $44 21h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $50 22h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $73 22h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY Yes 51¢ $106 22h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 80¢ $140 22h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 100¢ $239 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -13.4% -21.6% 36% 34% -13.2%
≤30d 340 -5.0% -14.0% 36% 35% +1.3%
≤90d 851 -10.4% -18.9% 33% 33% -8.2%
all 851 -10.4% -18.9% 33% 33% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 33% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 33% -17.0%
15% -33.8% 33% -25.0%
20% -40.2% 32% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $344.36 · official $344.36 (match) · 1583 history records