Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a97…395b
crypto · 254 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$202 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$200 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses117 / 136
Open positions1
Markets (closed)253 / 254
History coverage5d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day332.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$200
14 days−$200
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 87¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $47 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$9 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$14 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $28 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $22 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $12 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $14 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 25% -12.8%
≤30d 253 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 25% -12.8%
≤90d 253 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 25% -12.8%
all 253 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 25% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover332.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 25% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 14% -21.1%
15% -30.7% 7% -28.8%
20% -37.5% 4% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.86 · official $3.42 (match) · 1903 history records