Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a97…4800
other · 298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,472 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,495 · open −$122
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,993
Realized−$2,495
Unrealized−$122
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses200 / 69
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions102
Markets (closed)269 / 298
History coverage47d
Avg bet$288
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 102 History 269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$283
7 days−$86
14 days+$869
30 days−$2,867
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 89¢ 94¢ $4,785 $5,035 +$250 (+5%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $870 $890 +$20 (+2%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $487 $499 +$12 (+2%)
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No 84¢ 77¢ $536 $491 −$45 (-8%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 41¢ 100¢ $87 $211 +$124 (+142%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 97¢ 93¢ $200 $192 −$8 (-4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 98¢ $173 $184 +$11 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 98¢ $124 $128 +$4 (+3%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 58¢ 61¢ $112 $118 +$6 (+5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No 96¢ 96¢ $115 $115 +$0 (+0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 56¢ 63¢ $100 $112 +$12 (+12%)
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $94 $94 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 70¢ 18¢ $348 $92 −$256 (-73%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 37¢ 67¢ $37 $67 +$30 (+82%)
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No 88¢ 89¢ $63 $64 +$1 (+1%)
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No 82¢ 77¢ $66 $62 −$4 (-6%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $53 $48 −$5 (-10%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic 76¢ 76¢ $44 $44 +$0 (+0%)
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 81¢ $38 $35 −$3 (-9%)
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+49%)
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? No 87¢ 79¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No 93¢ 100¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 74¢ 10¢ $173 $25 −$148 (-86%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 84¢ 92¢ $21 $23 +$2 (+11%)
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 98¢ $20 $22 +$1 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 12 $48 +$11 +23%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $1,698 +$210 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $139 +$61 +44%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $124 +$64 +51%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 09 $10 +$3 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $517 −$508 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $241 −$232 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $341 −$137 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $57 +$14 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 08 $305 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Jun 08 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 08 $202 +$36 +18%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,470 +$267 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $1,965 +$22 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 07 $290 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 07 $519 +$81 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 07 $1,335 +$14 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 05 $7 −$6 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $29 −$29 -99%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $405 +$51 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $42 −$13 -32%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 04 $799 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 04 $27 +$22 +83%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 04 $1,408 −$518 -37%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $408 +$25 +6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? Jun 04 $1,966 +$84 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 04 $3,283 +$115 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $332 +$174 +53%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $2 $0 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June? Jun 03 $5 +$2 +33%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 03 $675 +$134 +20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 02 $868 +$135 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,409 +$339 +24%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 02 $11 −$11 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 02 $32 −$31 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 02 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $2 $0 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $4,426 +$462 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$2,714
sports 24% +$733
crypto 13% −$746
finance 2% +$52
world 0% +$50
politics 0% +$8
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $144 46m
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $11 46m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $200 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $200 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $200 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 97¢ $63 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 97¢ $100 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 96¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 95¢ $6 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 95¢ $300 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $29 3h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $797 3h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $26 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $76 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $10 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $11 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $35 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $80 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $7 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $81 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $77 4h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $28 4h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 63¢ $101 5h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 63¢ $101 5h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $993 5h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $48 5h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $43 5h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $8 5h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 99¢ $99 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -1.3% -10.7% 80% 50% -10.3%
≤30d 197 +14.7% +3.8% 73% 39% -12.5%
≤90d 269 +9.7% -0.7% 74% 41% -11.7%
all 269 +9.7% -0.7% 74% 41% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 41% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 20% -20.1%
15% -18.9% 11% -27.8%
20% -26.9% 8% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,992.83 · official $8,992.73 (match) · 3500 history records