Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:22:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a83…920d other 94 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,110 (+8%) realized +$2,110 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +40% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +8% what you keep after slip
Net edge+8%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate72%68W / 26L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$274per market
Trades / day80.3pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit17%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$872
7 days+$893
14 days+$1,138
30 days+$1,504
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 86% +$1,367
world 8% +$113
sports 4% −$15
crypto 3% +$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +179.9% +153.3% 62% 38% -2.4%
≤30d 94 +39.8% +26.5% 72% 26% -3.2%
≤90d 94 +39.8% +26.5% 72% 26% -3.2%
all 94 +39.8% +26.5% 72% 26% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.5% 26% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here +14.4% 9% -12.5%
15% +3.3% 6% -21.0%
20% -6.8% 5% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +40% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +76% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
12.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$15 · ×1.82 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4.77 per $1 lost it wins $4.77
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses68 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage24d
Avg bet$274
Trades / day80.3
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit17%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 94 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1,722 +$321 +19%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1,870 +$198 +11%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $1,801 +$58 +3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $1,499 +$169 +11%
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 16 $17 −$17 -99%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $1,953 +$113 +6%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $627 +$30 +5%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $438 +$16 +4%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $100 +$14 +14%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $205 −$29 -14%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $179 −$14 -8%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $500 +$28 +6%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $178 −$124 -70%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 −$4 -9%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $968 −$69 -7%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $62 +$2 +3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $475 +$67 +14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $291 −$7 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,305 +$143 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $574 +$10 +2%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $145 −$11 -7%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $423 +$21 +5%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $184 −$3 -2%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $553 +$11 +2%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $30 −$4 -12%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $600 +$111 +18%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $301 +$11 +4%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $546 +$39 +7%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $50 +$7 +14%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $29 +$5 +18%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $128 +$22 +17%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $198 $0 -0%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $8 $0 +5%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +14%
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $425 −$28 -7%
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw? Jun 06 $192 +$3 +2%
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $50 +$12 +23%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $49 −$4 -8%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $182 +$75 +41%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $64 +$2 +3%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $35 −$28 -80%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $35 +$2 +6%
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $100 +$3 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $889 +$12 +1%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $250 +$5 +2%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $129 −$20 -16%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $150 +$7 +5%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $669 +$37 +6%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $25 −$7 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 79¢ $1,044 9m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $126 10m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 75¢ $125 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 75¢ $125 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 75¢ $125 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $126 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $126 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 75¢ $124 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 75¢ $126 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 52¢ $74 31m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 52¢ $76 31m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 53¢ $132 32m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 20¢ $18 36m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 20¢ $32 36m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 22¢ $40 40m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 22¢ $26 40m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 19¢ $14 40m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 47¢ $295 42m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $16 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $12 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $50 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $50 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $50 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $34 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $4 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $24 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $20 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $2 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $7 46m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 47¢ $1 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1980 history records