Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:37:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a7d…582a
sports · 323 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$629 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$629 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$629
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses192 / 126
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions5
Markets (closed)318 / 323
History coverage44d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 5 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$7
14 days−$229
30 days−$640
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 Over 88¢ 88¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 83¢ 83¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $40 +$3 +7%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $17 +$2 +10%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $27 +$7 +27%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +172%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $14 +$1 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$3 +31%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 10 $100 −$9 -9%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $3 −$3 -86%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $2 +$1 +61%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs L.820 (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $2 −$1 -94%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +56%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $1 $0 +20%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -66%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $8 −$5 -60%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $2 +$1 +54%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 $0 +18%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 −$1 -26%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +29%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +12%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +124%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$1 -26%
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% −$27
other 42% −$444
crypto 9% −$174
world 3% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 83¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 BUY Over 88¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 90¢ $30 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $43 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $31 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 95¢ $30 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $40 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 38h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 78¢ $20 38h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 78¢ $7 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 38h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $17 38h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 BUY Over 87¢ $5 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $14 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $4 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 BUY Over 72¢ $7 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $14 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $10 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $10 3d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $10 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $10 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $10 3d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $42 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL Young Ninjas 8¢ $0 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY Young Ninjas 55¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +7.5% -2.7% 81% 44% -11.1%
≤30d 174 -5.0% -14.1% 66% 45% -32.1%
≤90d 318 -8.0% -16.8% 60% 46% -19.5%
all 318 -8.0% -16.8% 60% 46% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 46% -19.5%
10% -24.7% 36% -27.2%
15% -32.0% 30% -34.2%
20% -38.7% 24% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.86 · official $46.86 (match) · 702 history records