Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:27:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a76…49d6
other · 31 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$14 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage82d
Avg bet$401
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 14 $1,062 −$2 -0%
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Se Jun 14 $45 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $984 −$2 -0%
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $1,062 −$2 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1,039 −$2 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $59 $0 -0%
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $1,007 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $985 −$1 -0%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 11 $102 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 11 $37 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? May 11 $23 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 16 $735 −$1 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 16 $55 $0 -0%
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Apr 16 $748 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 16 $757 −$1 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $51 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 15 $23 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $742 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Apr 15 $1,486 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? Apr 14 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $13 $0 -0%
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Apr 14 $728 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026? Apr 01 $186 $0 -0%
Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Apr 01 $22 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 01 $55 $0 -0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 27 $164 $0 -0%
Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Mar 27 $25 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Mar 27 $11 $0 -0%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Mar 24 $157 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Mar 24 $26 $0 -0%
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 24 $11 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 38% −$6
other 37% −$5
sports 15% −$2
tech 9% $0
crypto 1% $0
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin SELL No 99¢ $1,060 40m
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Se SELL No 100¢ $45 57m
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Se BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin BUY No 99¢ $1,025 1h
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Se BUY No 100¢ $11 1h
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $983 1h
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Se BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $968 1h
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin BUY No 99¢ $37 1h
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $800 2h
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $16 2h
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $260 2h
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $1,062 2h
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,038 20h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $58 20h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $23 20h
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,003 20h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $15 21h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 21h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $20 21h
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $155 21h
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $18 21h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $749 21h
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $18 21h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $235 22h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $985 22h
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $101 33d
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $78 33d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $37 33d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $17 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 8 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 31 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 31 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 98 history records