Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T04:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a73…c860 other 11 markets active 20d ago coverage 23d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$274 (+0%) realized +$274 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate36%4W / 7L
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$26,923per market
Trades / day80.1pace
Kalshi-fit36%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
world 98% +$159
other 2% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 8 -1.9% -11.2% 25% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 11 -1.4% -10.8% 36% 0% -9.5%
all 11 -1.4% -10.8% 36% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 0% -9.5%
10% -19.3% 0% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -27.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 85% · top 2 99% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
85.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$49 vs −$20 · ×2.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses4 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage23d
Avg bet$26,923
Trades / day80.1
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit36%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? Jun 07 $1,020 −$30 -3%
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? Jun 07 $2,336 +$28 +1%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next? Jun 07 $1,244 −$36 -3%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? Jun 06 $1,474 −$34 -2%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? Jun 05 $388 −$12 -3%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? Jun 05 $250 −$6 -2%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next? Jun 04 $510 −$15 -3%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? May 30 $8,149 +$1 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 28 $20,161 +$1 +0%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? May 21 $106,216 −$8 -0%
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? May 17 $154,409 +$166 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? SELL Yes $15 20d
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? BUY Yes $15 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1855 history records