Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a71…092d
crypto · 890 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$185 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$93 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$93
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses473 / 416
Open positions1
Markets (closed)889 / 890
History coverage27d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day82.8
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 889 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$343
14 days+$85
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 41h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -8.7% -17.4% 47% 47% -19.2%
≤30d 889 +9.3% -1.1% 53% 53% -8.5%
≤90d 889 +9.3% -1.1% 53% 53% -8.5%
all 889 +9.3% -1.1% 53% 53% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.1% 53% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -10.6% 53% -17.3%
15% -19.2% 53% -25.3%
20% -27.1% 53% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.80 · official $1.80 (match) · 3055 history records