Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a6c…93df
sports · 800 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$44 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$180
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses348 / 413
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions36
Markets (closed)761 / 800
History coverage93d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 36 History 761 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$25
14 days+$5
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $119 $126 +$7 (+6%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 25¢ 76¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+204%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 86¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 66¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 48¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +89%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$2 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$1 -39%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $7 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$4 -50%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +59%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $23 +$6 +26%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +47%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 $0 +49%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +145%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $15 +$56 +365%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 08 $19 −$10 -51%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $28 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $14 −$11 -78%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $90 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$1 +12%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +71%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$70
other 22% −$10
world 1% −$4
politics 0% −$3
crypto 0% −$4
culture 0% −$2
finance 0% −$2
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $2 7m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $50 8m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $2 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 0¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $1 4h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 4h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 4h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 4h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 19¢ $1 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 81¢ $7 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 70¢ $6 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 29¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -26.9% -33.8% 41% 35% -14.2%
≤30d 321 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 44% -8.2%
≤90d 761 -6.7% -15.6% 46% 43% -7.9%
all 761 -6.7% -15.6% 46% 43% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 43% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 41% -16.8%
15% -31.0% 37% -24.8%
20% -37.8% 29% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.62 · official $184.63 · 2507 history records