Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a67…a784
other · 103 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$13 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses45 / 56
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)101 / 103
History coverage61d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 2 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 20¢ 21¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 16¢ 30¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+84%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Cleveland Guardians 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +162%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +63%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +110%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $1 $0 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -68%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -50%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 03 $1 $0 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1 +$5 +497%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $2 −$1 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 29 $1 −$1 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $1 +$5 +509%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 27 $1 $0 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $1 −$1 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 25 $1 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 25 $1 $0 -32%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 25 $2 −$1 -32%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 25 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $1 +$1 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox May 24 $1 +$1 +110%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs May 24 $1 +$1 +125%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 24 $1 +$1 +145%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 24 $1 $0 -47%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $1 −$1 -64%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 23 $1 +$1 +128%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs May 23 $1 +$1 +124%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox May 23 $1 +$2 +159%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 -47%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $3 $0 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 -7%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 22 $1 +$1 +123%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $1 $0 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 21 $2 $0 -15%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 21 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 21 $1 −$1 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $1 −$1 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 17 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$14
sports 21% +$2
crypto 13% −$4
politics 8% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 69¢ $5 33h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 35¢ $3 2d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 3d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 7d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 8d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 9d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 10d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? SELL Yes 89¢ $6 11d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 13d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 14d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 15d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +55.2% +40.5% 67% 67% +53.2%
≤30d 54 +8.7% -1.7% 35% 33% -3.9%
≤90d 101 +12.5% +1.8% 45% 39% -0.1%
all 101 +12.5% +1.8% 45% 39% -0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.8% 39% -0.1%
10% -8.0% 34% -9.6%
15% -16.9% 29% -18.4%
20% -25.0% 25% -26.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.94 · official $3.94 (match) · 222 history records