Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a60…5e8e
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Open positions4
Markets (closed)9 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 4 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 25¢ 25¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-96%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 +$10 +509%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -61%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$8 +766%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% +$6
politics 37% −$3
culture 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 8m
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 8m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 6h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 23h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 81¢ $9 23h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 87¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 26h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 10¢ $6 27h
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 1¢ $4 2d
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 8¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+63.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +81.1% +63.9% 33% 33% +22.0%
≤30d 9 +81.1% +63.9% 33% 33% +22.0%
≤90d 9 +81.1% +63.9% 33% 33% +22.0%
all 9 +81.1% +63.9% 33% 33% +22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +63.9% 33% +22.0%
10% +48.2% 22% +10.3%
15% +33.9% 22% -0.3%
20% +20.7% 22% -10.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.16 · official $3.16 (match) · 21 history records