Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a5c…d0ca
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage4d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Qatar 1¢ 1¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 −$7 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% −$25
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $6 59m
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) BUY Qatar 1¢ $4 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $20 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $15 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 22h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $8 22h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $1 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -53.2% -57.7% 20% 20% -71.8%
≤30d 5 -53.2% -57.7% 20% 20% -71.8%
≤90d 5 -53.2% -57.7% 20% 20% -71.8%
all 5 -53.2% -57.7% 20% 20% -71.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -57.7% 20% -71.8%
10% -61.7% 20% -74.5%
15% -65.4% 20% -77.0%
20% -68.8% 0% -79.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.19 · official $22.20 (match) · 16 history records