trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 17% | 0% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 29% | 0% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 29% | 0% | -11.8% |
| all | 16 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 44% | 0% | -16.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.5% | 0% | -16.6% |
| 10% | -30.8% | 0% | -24.6% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 0% | -31.9% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 0% | -38.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $16 | −$2 | -14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $18 | −$1 | -8% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | May 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 21 | $6 | −$2 | -38% |
| Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $16 | $0 | +1% |