Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:22:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a59…ff87
crypto · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$24 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses27 / 29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day309.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$33 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$25 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$18 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$40 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$11 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$23 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$28 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -13.5% -21.8% 48% 48% -6.4%
≤30d 56 -13.5% -21.8% 48% 48% -6.4%
≤90d 56 -13.5% -21.8% 48% 48% -6.4%
all 56 -13.5% -21.8% 48% 48% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover309.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 48% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 45% -15.4%
15% -36.1% 39% -23.6%
20% -42.4% 34% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.70 · official $9.50 (match) · 338 history records