Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a56…c210
other · 169 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses102 / 65
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)167 / 169
History coverage174d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 2 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$33
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) Juventus FC 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$2 +58%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 +$3 +134%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +134%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +46%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +59%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +40%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -64%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -82%
Will Kosovo vs. Andorra end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +37%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$2 +67%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +134%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -92%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$1 +35%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $101 +$17 +17%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $101 +$16 +16%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $2 +$2 +118%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 +$1 +146%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 +$1 +76%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $2 +$1 +52%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 −$1 -62%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $2 +$3 +129%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $1 −$1 -87%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2 +$1 +52%
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw? May 17 $1 +$1 +93%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? May 17 $1 −$1 -71%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3 −$2 -65%
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? May 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3 $0 +13%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -90%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 +$1 +92%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3 +$4 +118%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% −$10
weather 33% −$38
other 27% +$51
sports 0% −$2
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $4 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 25h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 2d
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 4d
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 4d
Will Wales win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 75¢ $3 4d
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 4d
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 62¢ $3 4d
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 4d
Will Wales win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 4d
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 4d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 4d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4d
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 68¢ $2 4d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 4d
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 74¢ $2 4d
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 4d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 4d
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 4d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 6d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 6d
Will Kosovo vs. Andorra end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 80¢ $3 6d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +1.6% -8.1% 55% 55% -10.7%
≤30d 54 +14.8% +3.9% 61% 61% +3.8%
≤90d 119 -8.3% -17.0% 50% 47% -13.7%
all 167 -2.0% -11.3% 61% 47% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 47% -9.6%
10% -19.8% 35% -18.2%
15% -27.6% 31% -26.1%
20% -34.7% 25% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.88 · official $14.88 (match) · 371 history records