Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a56…be30
weather · 1026 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$388 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$362 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$362
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses546 / 459
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1005 / 1026
History coverage34d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day94.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 21 History 1005 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$208
14 days−$324
30 days−$379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 60¢ 60¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner B8 32¢ 32¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 28¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 50¢ 49¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 48¢ 47¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 43¢ 43¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 41¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$1 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $26 −$1 -6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$11 +67%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $35 +$7 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 −$3 -53%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $32 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 −$2 -19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $19 −$9 -47%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$7 -78%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 −$11 -84%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $28 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14? Jun 13 $38 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $28 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $34 −$3 -8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$8 +91%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$6 +46%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 +$7 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13 −$6 -43%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $23 −$4 -17%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $35 −$7 -21%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $16 −$11 -72%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 12 $27 −$22 -81%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $17 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$6 +51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 +$8 +72%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $24 +$4 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 +$7 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $37 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$5 -54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $24 −$10 -40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 −$3 -20%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $37 +$6 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$9 -89%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $29 −$13 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 72% −$275
sports 25% −$109
other 3% −$1
finance 0% +$2
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $6 2m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 32¢ $7 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $9 5m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 46m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 46m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 41¢ $2 47m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 47m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 47m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 47m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 48m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 48m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 48m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 48m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 48m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 49m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 49m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 49m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 49m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 50m
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 65¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 65¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 80¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 80¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 81¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $4 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 89¢ $9 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 93¢ $14 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 33% -14.9%
≤30d 939 -5.4% -14.4% 55% 39% -13.0%
≤90d 1005 -4.9% -13.9% 54% 39% -12.7%
all 1005 -4.9% -13.9% 54% 39% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 39% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 27% -21.0%
15% -29.7% 19% -28.7%
20% -36.6% 14% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.88 · official $58.88 (match) · 3500 history records