Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a55…2b27
crypto · 379 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$498 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$490 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$490
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses189 / 189
Open positions1
Markets (closed)378 / 379
History coverage2d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day472.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$569
7 days−$490
14 days−$490
30 days−$490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $32 $54 +$22 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$7 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$11 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$12 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$16 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$16 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$20 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$5 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$35 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$12 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$22 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$8 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$12 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$6 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $140 +$26 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$13 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$12 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$14 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$40 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$9 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$15 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$4 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$3 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$498
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $14 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $9 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $24 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 378 -3.8% -12.9% 50% 46% -14.1%
≤30d 378 -3.8% -12.9% 50% 46% -14.1%
≤90d 378 -3.8% -12.9% 50% 46% -14.1%
all 378 -3.8% -12.9% 50% 46% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover472.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 46% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 38% -22.4%
15% -28.9% 29% -29.9%
20% -35.8% 18% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.61 · official $53.61 (match) · 3500 history records