Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:21:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a4c…068a
sports · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,531 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,756 · open −$841
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,244
Realized−$1,756
Unrealized−$841
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses49 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$1,459
Open positions2
Markets (closed)80 / 82
History coverage106d
Avg bet$1,578
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$420
7 days−$326
14 days+$486
30 days−$977
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 88¢ 100¢ $4,005 $4,528 +$522 (+13%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 91¢ 100¢ $1,560 $1,714 +$154 (+10%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 22¢ 0¢ $595 $1 −$594 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 31¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$247 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 0¢ $618 $0 −$618 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,339 +$1,048 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,684 +$403 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3,572 +$439 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,697 −$1,081 -64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $992 +$293 +30%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $192 −$168 -87%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $131 −$92 -70%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma Jun 12 $1,265 −$1,265 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $270 +$10 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $267 +$1 +0%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,383 +$83 +6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $279 +$21 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $218 +$56 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $490 +$143 +29%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $4,769 +$451 +10%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $29 +$5 +16%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $275 +$36 +13%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $2,033 −$105 -5%
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh May 30 $745 +$30 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelim May 30 $96 +$4 +4%
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims) May 30 $362 +$4 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1,585 +$169 +11%
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims) May 30 $4,810 +$147 +3%
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims) May 30 $5,029 +$275 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner May 30 $629 −$568 -90%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $2,518 −$1,310 -52%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner May 18 $1,598 +$249 +16%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 16 $299 −$62 -21%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $393 +$2 +1%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 16 $1,127 −$45 -4%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 16 $1,175 −$33 -3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 16 $1,021 −$133 -13%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 15 $193 +$2 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 15 $455 +$14 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 14 $1,024 −$27 -3%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 14 $1,766 +$77 +4%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 14 $2,733 +$102 +4%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 14 $4,377 +$474 +11%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 13 $403 −$39 -10%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 13 $7,396 −$3,591 -49%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 12 $434 +$86 +20%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 12 $7,712 +$409 +5%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 10 $1,345 +$105 +8%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 10 $1,782 +$18 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 10 $1,206 +$74 +6%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $3,294 +$177 +5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $3,948 +$60 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 09 $142 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,596
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $70 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 98¢ $495 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $27 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $89 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $92 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $78 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $78 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $49 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $11 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $34 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $20 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 80¢ $398 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 80¢ $398 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 18¢ $88 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 20¢ $9 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 19¢ $48 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 20¢ $11 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 20¢ $80 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 19¢ $38 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 19¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -27.4% -34.3% 62% 31% -8.7%
≤30d 36 -11.0% -19.5% 67% 28% -10.6%
≤90d 76 -7.6% -16.4% 61% 24% -10.6%
all 80 -5.6% -14.6% 61% 26% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 26% -10.6%
10% -22.7% 16% -19.1%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 5% -26.9%
20% -37.0% 5% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,244.01 · official $6,244.01 (match) · 2218 history records