Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a36…5dd5
crypto · 227 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses133 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)227 / 227
History coverage232d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$5
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$19
world 7% $0
tech 2% −$6
other 2% −$4
sports 1% $0
politics 1% −$3
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -21.1% -28.6% 52% 33% -18.3%
≤30d 116 -8.0% -16.7% 58% 35% -12.4%
≤90d 204 -11.7% -20.1% 58% 30% -11.2%
all 227 -10.3% -18.8% 59% 31% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 31% -12.4%
10% -26.6% 21% -20.8%
15% -33.7% 13% -28.5%
20% -40.2% 8% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 629 history records