Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:52:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a36…eee3 crypto 786 markets active 6d ago coverage 45d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$396 (-5%) realized −$396 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate52%405W / 381L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day62.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$62
14 days−$82
30 days−$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$891
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 39% -16.1%
≤30d 357 -16.6% -24.5% 45% 43% -21.7%
≤90d 786 -8.0% -16.8% 52% 50% -20.1%
all 786 -8.0% -16.8% 52% 50% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 50% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 49% -27.8%
15% -32.0% 44% -34.7%
20% -38.7% 34% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$9 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$396
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses405 / 381
Open positions0
Markets (closed)786 / 786
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 786 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$11 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$12 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$4 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records