Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a30…f1a9
crypto · 725 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$43 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses516 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)725 / 725
History coverage20d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$24
14 days+$29
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 +3.1% -6.7% 69% 68% -5.5%
≤30d 725 +3.2% -6.6% 71% 71% -6.8%
≤90d 725 +3.2% -6.6% 71% 71% -6.8%
all 725 +3.2% -6.6% 71% 71% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 71% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 62% -15.7%
15% -23.7% 46% -23.9%
20% -31.2% 26% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1257 history records