Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a30…9eac
crypto · 387 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,151 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses201 / 187
Open positions0
Markets (closed)388 / 387
History coverage2d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day362.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$812
7 days−$1,151
14 days−$1,151
30 days−$1,151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$53 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$14 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$23 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $134 −$63 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$20 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$37 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$19 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$25 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$43 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$35 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$43 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$15 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $68 +$20 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$13 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$9 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$36 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$8 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $143 −$21 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$33 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $69 +$12 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$15 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$41 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$59 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$11 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$12 +53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $16 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $18 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $17 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $18 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $27 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $23 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $21 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $29 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $19 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $18 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $16 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $17 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 388 -6.0% -14.9% 52% 46% -15.5%
≤30d 388 -6.0% -14.9% 52% 46% -15.5%
≤90d 388 -6.0% -14.9% 52% 46% -15.5%
all 388 -6.0% -14.9% 52% 46% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 46% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 39% -23.6%
15% -30.5% 30% -31.0%
20% -37.3% 20% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.44 · official $3.44 (match) · 3500 history records