Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:13:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a2b…3e5c
sports · 61 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$11 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses35 / 26
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage24d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$28
14 days−$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5 Under 13¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 92¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 51¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5 Over 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Under 29¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Under 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5 Under 38¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 Under $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 15¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Under $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Under 79¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 2.5 Over $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5 Under 21¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 83¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $60 +$9 +15%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $68 −$2 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $27 +$5 +18%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $29 −$7 -24%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 −$4 -36%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $45 +$16 +35%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $70 +$4 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$24 +122%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $25 −$4 -15%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $25 −$7 -29%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 $0 +2%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $20 +$7 +35%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $27 −$3 -13%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $30 +$2 +8%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $20 +$3 +14%
Deportes Temuco vs. Curico Unido: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $15 +$4 +25%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $50 +$8 +16%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $47 +$3 +7%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $262 +$17 +7%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $10 +$1 +12%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $10 $0 +2%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $5 −$1 -26%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $20 −$15 -75%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $40 +$7 +17%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $30 +$4 +12%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $79 −$20 -25%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $31 $0 -0%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $27 −$27 -100%
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $19 +$3 +14%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $10 +$3 +26%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 May 31 $19 −$19 -100%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 May 31 $110 −$3 -3%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 May 31 $30 +$17 +57%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5 May 31 $91 +$5 +5%
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5 May 30 $31 +$23 +74%
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 May 30 $30 +$23 +76%
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5 May 29 $40 +$5 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $8 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $2 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 79¢ $23 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 71¢ $52 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 76¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $0 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $28 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $30 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 27¢ $11 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 98¢ $32 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 90¢ $10 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 79¢ $6 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 52¢ $10 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 55¢ $21 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 50¢ $9 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $10 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under $1 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under $5 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under $5 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under $5 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $61 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -13.7% -21.9% 57% 33% -6.9%
≤30d 61 -9.4% -18.1% 57% 38% -7.8%
≤90d 61 -9.4% -18.1% 57% 38% -7.8%
all 61 -9.4% -18.1% 57% 38% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.1% 38% -7.8%
10% -25.9% 18% -16.7%
15% -33.1% 10% -24.7%
20% -39.6% 10% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 311 history records