Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a2a…1fca
sports · 123 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$455 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$995 · open −$129
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 3 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$278
14 days−$401
30 days−$631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $5,375 $5,270 −$105 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $2,936 $2,967 +$31 (+1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 72¢ 70¢ $2,662 $2,607 −$55 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3,474 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $91 −$1 -1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4,257 −$129 -3%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $3,939 −$163 -4%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $2,278 +$55 +2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2,745 −$55 -2%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1,901 +$4 +0%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $439 $0 -0%
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1,717 +$11 +1%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 05 $2,367 −$23 -1%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1,309 +$18 +1%
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? Jun 04 $27 −$13 -49%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $50 $0 +0%
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 04 $50 $0 +0%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $50 $0 +0%
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $50 $0 +0%
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? Jun 04 $50 $0 +0%
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda Jun 02 $8 −$1 -9%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 01 $1,500 $0 -0%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 01 $600 $0 +0%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 01 $1,500 −$148 -10%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $600 +$12 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $470 +$14 +3%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $487 −$22 -4%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $1,500 +$39 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva May 29 $1,500 −$28 -2%
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osaka May 28 $159 +$6 +4%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $1,500 +$67 +4%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tiran May 27 $102 +$3 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic May 27 $1,500 −$81 -5%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino May 26 $1,000 +$176 +18%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov May 23 $1,104 $0 -0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 23 $146 −$95 -65%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $250 −$117 -47%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs May 23 $250 −$250 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals May 22 $250 −$16 -6%
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins May 22 $500 −$33 -7%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liu May 22 $310 $0 -0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 22 $1,224 −$66 -5%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Viktoria Hruncako May 22 $647 $0 -0%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dell May 22 $960 −$65 -7%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres May 22 $1,080 −$42 -4%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds May 22 $1,307 −$48 -4%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 21 $750 −$35 -5%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 21 $59 −$1 -1%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $410 +$10 +2%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers May 21 $154 $0 -0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 21 $2 $0 -2%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins May 21 $26 $0 -2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres May 21 $547 −$53 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$451
sports 43% −$515
crypto 2% +$51
world 1% −$52
politics 1% −$48
economics 1% +$53
finance 0% −$164
culture 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 53¢ $1,202 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3,292 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $9 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $108 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $435 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $104 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $158 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $520 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $11 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $52 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $11 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $224 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $9 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $27 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $52 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $11 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $53 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $4 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.8% -10.3% 33% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 78 -3.3% -12.5% 24% 5% -10.2%
≤90d 112 -3.9% -13.0% 28% 4% -10.5%
all 120 -4.5% -13.6% 32% 3% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 3% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 2% -19.0%
15% -29.4% 2% -26.9%
20% -36.3% 2% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,844.54 · official $10,844.54 (match) · 1910 history records