trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 14% | 7% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 14% | 7% | -9.1% |
| all | 24 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 33% | 8% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 8% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 8% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 8% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 4% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 20 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $83 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $3 | +$2 | +46% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Mar 25 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Le-Moyne vs. Central Connecticut | Mar 04 | $17 | −$15 | -85% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on March 5? | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Memphis vs. UTSA | Mar 04 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Syracuse vs. SMU | Mar 04 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Mercyhurst | Mar 04 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |