Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a22…1ccf
crypto · 312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$613 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$613 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$613
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses202 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage227d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$25
14 days+$40
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$16 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$19 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $7 $0 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$2 -31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$7 +266%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$10 +841%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$7 +312%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 66% −$512
crypto 26% −$70
other 2% −$33
world 2% +$4
politics 1% $0
finance 1% −$1
sports 1% +$7
tech 1% −$3
culture 0% $0
economics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $14 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $18 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +2.8% -7.0% 40% 40% -14.2%
≤30d 111 +13.1% +2.3% 44% 41% -11.6%
≤90d 202 -2.0% -11.3% 57% 27% -21.3%
all 312 +0.4% -9.1% 65% 27% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 27% -18.8%
10% -17.8% 18% -26.6%
15% -25.8% 13% -33.7%
20% -33.0% 11% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 692 history records