Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a20…d606
sports · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$133 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$143
Realized−$118
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses223 / 74
Est. fees paid−$133
Open positions8
Markets (closed)297 / 305
History coverage37d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$247
7 days−$415
14 days−$381
30 days−$635
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 70¢ 68¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 77¢ 66¢ $26 $22 −$4 (-15%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 73¢ 68¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-6%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 70¢ 80¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+14%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 72¢ 79¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+10%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 79¢ 80¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ 88¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+11%)
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney Taylah Preston 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Caty McNally 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Francesco Forti Pierluigi Basile 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Guido Justo 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Yunchaokete Bu 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 74¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $16 +$6 +41%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $16 +$6 +40%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $24 +$6 +24%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $17 +$7 +41%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $17 +$4 +26%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $18 +$6 +30%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $20 +$8 +41%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $26 +$8 +32%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $31 +$7 +24%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $28 +$10 +36%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $30 +$9 +29%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $34 +$11 +32%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $34 +$9 +26%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $32 +$13 +41%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $35 +$8 +24%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $37 −$37 -100%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $37 −$37 -100%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $33 +$8 +25%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $32 +$13 +40%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $37 +$13 +34%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $37 +$15 +41%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $32 +$8 +24%
Cattolica: Maks Kasnikowski vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 09 $32 −$32 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $34 +$15 +43%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $37 +$13 +34%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Jun 09 $41 −$41 -100%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $43 +$13 +29%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $42 −$42 -100%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $38 +$11 +29%
Bratislava: Lukas Pokorny vs Alex Barrena Jun 09 $44 +$19 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $43 +$20 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $41 +$17 +41%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $47 −$47 -100%
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 08 $50 +$19 +37%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $49 +$18 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 100¢ $22 10m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 79¢ $17 15m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 72¢ $18 24m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 100¢ $22 37m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 70¢ $18 51m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana SELL Mary Stoiana 100¢ $30 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 74¢ $16 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 100¢ $24 1h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 71¢ $16 1h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 100¢ $22 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 70¢ $16 2h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ $14 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $24 2h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 79¢ $17 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 70¢ $17 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 76¢ $18 4h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 71¢ $20 4h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt SELL Nicolas Kicker 100¢ $28 12h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nicolas Kicker 70¢ $20 14h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 77¢ $22 17h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 75¢ $23 17h
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida SELL Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 100¢ $34 18h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 71¢ $22 18h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 70¢ $24 18h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova SELL Guido Justo 100¢ $14 19h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 80¢ $24 19h
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 75¢ $26 20h
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur SELL Clement Tabur 100¢ $38 20h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 100¢ $38 20h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 73¢ $22 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +76.4% +59.6% 65% 65% -23.6%
≤30d 178 +49.0% +34.8% 71% 71% -16.7%
≤90d 297 +32.6% +20.0% 75% 75% -10.2%
all 297 +32.6% +20.0% 75% 75% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +20.0% 75% -10.2%
10% +8.5% 75% -18.8%
15% -2.0% 32% -26.7%
20% -11.6% 3% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $142.95 · official $138.29 · 750 history records