Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a1b…fbbd
other · 197 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$1,255 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,266 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$67
Realized+$1,266
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses118 / 189
Open positions2
Markets (closed)307 / 197
Avg bet$16
Trades / day72.4
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 2 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$311
7 days+$323
14 days+$570
30 days+$774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $62 $64 +$2 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $15 $2 −$13 (-84%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$5 +264%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March Jun 12 $16 −$24 -147%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to Mar Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 13 to March Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$9 +425%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $7 +$5 +70%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April Jun 12 $1 +$8 +802%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $17 +$66 +401%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$29 +10634%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to Mar Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$28 +267%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$54 +993%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Jun 12 $12 +$14 +112%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $6 +$14 +217%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$85 +242821%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Jun 12 $6 +$25 +420%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to Marc Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$12 +285%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $12 +$21 +182%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to Mar Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Andrew Tate post 220-249 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to Apr Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to Apri Jun 12 $7 +$7 +107%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to Mar Jun 12 $8 −$11 -137%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $6 +$19 +330%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to Mar Jun 12 $5 −$6 -120%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$45 +865%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to Apr Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$42 +1274%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 14 to Apr Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 13 to Mar Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$4 -52%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 6 to Marc Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 12 $21 −$10 -46%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 7 to Apri Jun 12 $8 −$5 -65%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$9 -122%
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 27 to Jun 12 $1 −$2 -151%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% +$739
politics 8% +$189
world 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $22 10h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 11h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $22 11h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 14h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 14h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 14h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $21 14h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 14h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 16h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 17h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $7 17h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 17h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 17h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +95.7% +77.1% 31% 31% +9.3%
≤30d 211 +83.8% +66.3% 39% 37% +16.2%
≤90d 307 +66.8% +50.9% 38% 36% +19.4%
all 307 +66.8% +50.9% 38% 36% +19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.9% 36% +19.4%
10% ← realistic here +36.5% 33% +8.0%
15% +23.3% 30% -2.5%
20% +11.2% 27% -12.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.59 · official $66.59 (match) · 3500 history records