Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:14:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a14…a6d8 crypto 162 markets active 2h ago coverage 43d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$10 (+1%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate63%102W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day3.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$11
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -8.1% -16.9% 65% 59% -12.6%
≤30d 134 -5.0% -14.0% 69% 64% -8.4%
≤90d 162 -12.0% -20.4% 63% 59% -10.0%
all 162 -12.0% -20.4% 63% 59% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.4% 59% -10.0%
10% -28.0% 32% -18.6%
15% -35.0% 20% -26.5%
20% -41.4% 11% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses102 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)162 / 162
History coverage43d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 162 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$5 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$3 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$11 +321%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +109%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$6 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$6 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$3 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$3 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 41h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $12 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 329 history records