Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a0c…eebf
sports · 297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses225 / 71
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)296 / 297
History coverage75d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score Yes 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? No 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5 Over 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 $0 +7%
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 +$1 +22%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 +$1 +18%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 +$1 +18%
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5 May 24 $3 +$1 +15%
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$18
crypto 14% −$27
other 9% +$1
world 2% −$9
finance 1% +$8
politics 1% −$5
tech 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -10.9% -19.3% 59% 43% -18.5%
≤30d 127 -4.0% -13.1% 76% 60% -13.3%
≤90d 296 -1.0% -10.5% 76% 65% -10.5%
all 296 -1.0% -10.5% 76% 65% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 65% -10.5%
10% -19.0% 30% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 16% -26.9%
20% -34.0% 7% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.84 · official $4.84 (match) · 632 history records