Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:59:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a07…2952
politics · 282 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$279 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses81 / 141
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions64
Markets (closed)222 / 282
History coverage4d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day848.3
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 64 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Jun 14 $0 $0 -3%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? Jun 14 $0 $0 -105%
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jun 14 $0 −$1 -610%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $677 +$1 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Jun 14 $17 $0 -0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 14 $2 $0 -5%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $14 $0 -1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 14 $492 −$1 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $21 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $16 +$1 +6%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $254 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $400 $0 +0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $518 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 14 $22 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $175 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $118 $0 -0%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $575 −$1 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $241 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $16 $0 +0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $124 +$1 +1%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $14 $0 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 14 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 14 $14 $0 -1%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 14 $346 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $344 −$1 -0%
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 14 $335 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 14 $149 $0 -0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $4 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $103 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $119 $0 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 39% +$23
other 31% +$5
economics 9% −$2
culture 9% −$1
world 6% +$2
tech 5% +$2
crypto 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $120 1h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $120 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $6 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $82 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $82 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $7 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $26 1h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $53 1h
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 +3.7% -6.2% 36% 8% -9.4%
≤30d 222 +3.7% -6.2% 36% 8% -9.4%
≤90d 222 +3.7% -6.2% 36% 8% -9.4%
all 222 +3.7% -6.2% 36% 8% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover848.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 8% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 6% -18.1%
15% -23.4% 5% -26.0%
20% -30.9% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.82 · official $49.19 · 3500 history records